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A Texas holdem odds list of Long-Shot Odds in Texas Holdem Quads over quads?

Set over set over set?

Hitting the bad beat jackpot?

If you've played poker live or online for any stretch of time - even a very, very short amount of time - you've seen hands play out you never thought possible.

One-outers on the river to crush your massive favorite.

But how often do these "long-shots" really come in?

And how often should we texas holdem odds list it?

Below we've compiled a comprehensive list of unusual long-shot odds for � numbers and percentages to impress or possibly annoy your fellow players at the table.

And, importantly, to unmask ruthless exaggerators who claim the most unlikely things happened to them just the other day.

Aces Let's start with some rather simple but quite important odds: being dealt aces.

There are 1,326 different hole-card combinations in Texas Hold'em pokerand 6 of them are aces.

Thus are 6 to 1,320 or 1 to 221 or 0.

You probably already knew that.

But what are the odds that one of your opponents is dealt aces as well?

A spectacular scenario, but quite unlikely.

Too painful to even calculate, but.

Running into Aces with Kings With aces you have nothing to fear before the flop.

But with pocket kings there is always this nagging thought in the back of your head that maybe, just maybe, one of your https://microrcracing.com/best/best-casinos-in-miami.html has aces.

Is that a likely scenario?

That opponent only has aces roughly once every 220 hands.

It's not likely he has your kings beat.

But at a full-ring table 9 players with 8 opponents, it's suddenly much more likely � albeit still a long-shot � that someone has aces against your kings.

The odds for that to happen are 1 in 26.

You're almost always better off disregarding this worst-case scenario, but sometimes really good players can make impressive folds with kings before the flop.

Queens into Kings and Aces With kings it's possible, but unlikely.

But what about queens?

Queens are much more vulnerable and, while it's still much more likely that you're ahead pre-flop, texas holdem odds list should consider the scenario that one of your opponents has kings or aces.

At a full-ring table the odds for that to happen are 1 in 13.

A raise, re-raise and an all-in in front of you might be a decent indicator that this 1 in 13 event is unfolding and that you're better off folding your hand.

Important Odds for Big Pairs Scenario Probability Odds Being dealt aces preflop 0.

Every ambitious poker player should know can best blackjack odds downtown vegas phrase number by heart: roughly 12%of the time or once every 9 times you see a flop with your pair.

A scenario many poker players are afraid of is the dreaded set over set: you flop a set but one of your opponents flops a better set.

Although quite unlikely this scenario is not that uncommon.

If two players have pocket pairs, both will flop a set simultaneously roughly once every 100 flops.

You still need two players to have a pocket pair at the same time for that to happen.

At a full-ring table you can expect to see a set-over-set scenario roughly once every 1,200 hands assuming all players with pocket pairs always see a flop.

Heads-up this scenario is much more unlikely, though.

It should happen only once every 42,000 hands.

So there's no need to worry about better sets with only one opponent � unless of course you're Phil Iveyplaying Scotty Nguyen in one of the biggest heads-up tournaments on TV.

Set Over Set Over Set Set over set situations are already very uncommon.

But what about some truly long-shot scenarios?

What about three players all flopping a set at the same time?

The math shows this scenario is extremely unlikely.

At a full-ring table you'll only see that every 166k hands.

With only three players at the table, this number increases to once every 14 million hands.

Important Set Over Set Odds Scenario Probability Odds If you have a pair, you hit a set trips on the flop 11.

Only bested by straight flushes, quads are and occur only very infrequently.

Quads over Quads: Does it Happen?

Set over set is already quite unlikely but what about one step further?

Well, the odds for that are pretty slim: With two players holding a pocket pair both will hit quads by the river roughly once every 39,000 attempts.

Odds for Making Quads in Poker Scenario Probability Odds If you have a pair, you hit quads until the river 0.

If you hold two suited cards.

How Likely is Flush over Flush?

Your dream scenario of flopping a flush can occasionally turn into a nightmare if one of your opponents flops a better flush with you.

But what are the odds?

As a matter of fact, if two players start out with two suited cards of the same suit, the odds of both flopping a flush are not as small as one might think.

Once every 206 attempts the flop will show three cards of the same suit.

Even flush over flush over flush is not that unlikely.

If you want to know how often this happens at a table, you still have to factor in the odds of all texas holdem odds list players being dealt matching suited cards.

The triple flush is much more unlikely though and should happen only once every 29k attempts.

Odds for Flushes in Texas Hold'em Scenario Probability Odds If you have suited cards, you flop a flush 0.

The probability of not being dealt a single pocket pair over 50 hands is a little bit under 5% � unlikely, but very possible.

Expand the streak to 200 hands and the probability drops to less 0.

Now most pocket pairs are only really good if you flop a set with them.

The probability of hitting at least one set i.

Over 500 hands the probability of not hitting a single set drops to only 3%.

Over 1,000 hands this number drops to less than 0.

So, over a long enough sample, you're practically guaranteed to flop one of those powerhouse hands.

Odds for Streaks in Poker Scenario Probability Odds Being dealt no pocket pair over 50 hands 4.

A hand so rare most poker players will remember every single one they are dealt for their entire life.

It's already texas holdem odds list unlikely for the board to allow for a royal flush by featuring at least three cards ten or higher of the same suit.

This happens only once every 60 click to see more that go to the river.

In real life the odds are certainly a bit lower since sometimes people fold hands like QTs before the flop.

Not everybody chases backdoor-royal-flush draws if there are bets and raises in front of them.

If you stood besides this table for 100 hands, the probability of witnessing at least one royal flush is already 2.

If you stood there for 2,500 hands or roughly 100 hours of live poker this probability increased to almost 50%.

All Important Royal Flush Probabilities The board shows a royal flush 0.

Many local card rooms and bad beat jackpots.

If you lose with a very strong hand, you and the entire table receive a share of a significant jackpot.

Card rooms also have strict requirements about which hands qualify for a bad sorry, which states have the best casino games will jackpot.

One of the most frequently used rule sets for those jackpots is: One player must lose with quad eights or better and both him and the player with the winning hand must use both hole cards.

The odds improve considerably if you increase the number of players at the table since now more players can make a qualifying hand.

At a full-ring table the odds of any two players hitting the bad beat jackpot are 1 to 194,000.

How Likely is a Bad Beat Jackpot in Poker?

Scenario Probability Odds Hitting quad eights or better and lose heads-up 0.

Have you had a deja vu when looking at your hole cards because you had the exact same cards down to the suits just the last hand?

Sounds like the dealer is pretty bad at shuffling, no?

With a perfect shuffle the odds of you getting the same hand as you had the hand before is 1 in 1,326 � unlikely, but not impossible.

The gist with small probabilities is that they quickly become more and more likely if you repeat the event often enough.

Pocket Aces Back-to-Back Now anyone can be dealt 83o twice in row and agree, best crypto gambling sites are not even notice this coincidence because, who cares about those low cards.

Surprisingly this scenario is not as unlikely as you might think.

Over 100 hands the odds are roughly 1 to 500; over 1,000 hands already 1 to 50.

Someone who has certainly played more than 34,000 hands is Phil Hellmuth.

And the Poker Brat just recently managed to get dealt pocket aces back-to-back live on television during Poker Night in America.

But, of course, getting aces is not everything.

You first need to get your stack in and you need your hand to hold up.

Probabilities of Back-to-Back Hands and Streaks in Hold'em Being dealt the exact same cards in a row at least once over 100 hands 7.

Lastly, let's take a look at some rather big numbers: How many ways are there to shuffle a deck of 52 cards?

For the first card you have 52 options, for the second 51, for the third 50 and so on.

Thus the total number of different ways a deck can be shuffled is 52 ? 1 � or 52!

This number is mindbogglingly huge.

It has 68 digits and if you like tongue twisters, please try to pronounce it: 80 unvigintillion 658 vigintillion 175 novemdecillion 170 octodecillion 943 septendecillion 900 sexdecillion.

Here's the full number: 80,658,175,170,943,900,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 The number of ways to shuffle a single deck of cards is so huge that whenever you shuffle a deck you are virtually guaranteed to have a shuffle that has never been played before and never will be played again.

Number of Possible Different Poker Games Interestingly enough, the number of different card distributions for is much smaller.

The bottom cards of the deck are not used and thus it doesn't matter how they are shuffled.

The total number of different distributions for a heads-up Hold'em game is a bit over 1 trillion: 1,390,690,501,200 � a number much smaller than 52!

Below each scenario we have provided the mathematical formula for how to calculate the probability.

Keep in mind that all probabilities assume that each player stays in the hand until the mentioned scenario can no longer be reached.

For example, the probabilities for sets assume that no player ever folds pocket pairs.

Scenario Probability Odds 1 Being dealt aces preflop 0.

Above 45 Hitting quad eights or better and lose heads-up 0.

XcY is the X choose Ye. 50 ?

So it was no surprise when he proudly unveiled his latest list of numbers, Texas Hold 'Em Odds from 1 to 52. �One for each card in the deck�,.

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Buy Texas Hold'em Odds and Probabilities 1 Pap/Cdr by Matthew Hilger (ISBN: 9780974150222) from. The probability tables/lists at the back are very useful.

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The odds below are separated into pre-flop and post-flop sections and, while some are essential, some were thrown in for fun.The strategy tips and ebooks are very helpful.

In parenthesis, the probability will be expressed in percentages to the nearest tenth.

However, the odds that these hands will improve are much less frequent.

For example, if you have 4 cards to a flush you remarkable 10 best craps bets for 9 outs to make your hand on the texas holdem odds list />There are 13 cards per suit and you have 4 of them.

There are 9 unknown cards left that could complete your flush so you have 9 outs out of 47 total unknown cards 52 cards in the deck � your 2 cards and � 3 more on the flop.

I'm giving away my 6-part course if you download it in the next 24 hours.

Very impressed, has really made a difference to how I play my game from when I first started.

Definitely built up my confidence in the game and helping me to stop spewing off chips.

When all of your money goes in preflop against one opponent no further decisions need to be made and the cards will be dealt to the river to determine a winner.

Expressed as a percentage, it will happen 0.

He hopes to counter the rampant dishonesty in online gaming media with objective reviews and relevant features.

Was dealt ace-jack offsuit, raised and texas holdem odds list by the big stack, flop came ace of sp + 6-7 of diamonds, I raise and big stack shoves, I.

He turns over 4-5 of diamonds.

Thanks for the comment and the hand scenario.

That would still only bring him down about 3%, though, and he would still be favored to win the hand.

The only red flag that might make you think twice about texas holdem odds list all your money in there would be a paired board.

The beauty of poker.

J10 or 87 the odds are about 76-1 1.

Ended up getting it all in to be beaten by the nut flush which was also flopped, not drawn to.

I can run the software simulations for specific situations, but this one is a little tricky.

Pre-flop, the odds of 2 players at a full 9-handed both being dealt a flush that materializes on the flop are about 1 in 500-600.

Interesting question for sure.

You flopped an Ace-high flush, correct?

Your opponent would need a full house or better to beat you.

Is that what happened?

The odds of flopping a straight flush are anywhere from about 5,000-20,000 to 1 depending on how closely gapped your cards are.

The 10-J you mentioned is the most likely starting hand to hit a straight flush at about 5,000 to 1.

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"That's not easy math at the table in your head". There is the Rule of 2 and 4 which is a useful rule of thumb when you are at the table. Number�...

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Use this handy list of what the odds are of improving your hand after the flop in Texas Hold'em, based on outs. Plus, how to use the rule of 4�...

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This number is mindbogglingly huge.

It has 68 digits and if you like tongue twisters, please try to pronounce it: 80 unvigintillion 658 vigintillion 175 novemdecillion 170 octodecillion 943 septendecillion 900 sexdecillion.

Here's the full number: 80,658,175,170,943,900,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 The number of ways to shuffle a single deck of cards is so huge that whenever you shuffle a deck you are virtually guaranteed to have a shuffle that has never been played before and never will be played again.

Number of Possible Different Poker Games Interestingly enough, the number of different card distributions for is much smaller.

The bottom cards of the deck are not used and thus it doesn't matter how they are shuffled.

The total number of different distributions for a heads-up Hold'em game is a bit over 1 trillion: 1,390,690,501,200 � a number much smaller than 52!

Below each scenario we have provided the mathematical formula for how to calculate the probability.

Keep in mind that all probabilities assume that each player stays in the hand until the mentioned scenario can no longer be reached.

For example, the probabilities for sets assume that no player ever folds pocket pairs.

Scenario Probability Odds 1 Being dealt aces preflop 0.

Above 45 Hitting quad eights or better and lose heads-up 0.

XcY is the X choose Y , e.{/INSERTKEYS} A List of Long-Shot Odds in Texas Holdem What Are the Odds?

A List of Long-Shot Odds in Texas Holdem Quads over quads?

Set over set over set?

Hitting the bad beat jackpot?

If you've played poker live or online for any stretch of time - even a very, very short amount of time - you've seen hands play out you never thought possible.

One-outers on the river to crush your massive favorite.

But how often do these "long-shots" really come in?

And how often should we expect it?

Below we've compiled a comprehensive list of unusual long-shot odds for � numbers and percentages to impress or possibly annoy your fellow players at the table.

And, importantly, to unmask ruthless exaggerators who claim the most unlikely things happened to them just the other day.

Odds of Aces v.

Aces Let's start with some rather simple but quite important odds: being dealt aces.

There are 1,326 different hole-card combinations in Texas Hold'em pokerand 6 of them are aces.

Thus are 6 to 1,320 or 1 to 221 or 0.

You probably already knew that.

But what are the odds that one of your opponents is dealt aces as well?

A spectacular scenario, but quite unlikely.

Too painful to even calculate, but.

Running into Aces with Kings With aces you have nothing to fear before the flop.

But with pocket kings there is always this nagging thought in the back of your head that maybe, just maybe, one of your opponents has aces.

Is that a likely scenario?

That opponent only has aces roughly once every 220 hands.

It's not likely he has your kings beat.

But at a full-ring table 9 players with 8 opponents, it's suddenly much more likely � albeit still a long-shot � that someone has aces against your kings.

The odds for that to happen are 1 in 26.

You're almost always better off disregarding this worst-case scenario, but sometimes really good players can make impressive folds with kings before the flop.

Queens into Kings and Aces With kings it's possible, but unlikely.

But what about queens?

Queens are much more vulnerable and, while it's still much more likely that you're ahead casinos manila best philippines in, you should consider the scenario that one of your opponents has kings or aces.

At a full-ring table the odds for that to happen are 1 in 13.

A raise, re-raise and an all-in in front of you might be a decent indicator that this 1 in 13 event is unfolding and that you're better off folding your hand.

Important Odds for Big Pairs Scenario Probability Odds Being dealt aces preflop 0.

Every source poker player should know this number by heart: roughly 12%of the time or once texas holdem odds list 9 times you see a flop with your pair.

visit web page scenario many poker players are afraid of is the dreaded set over set: you flop a set but one of your opponents flops a better set.

Although quite unlikely this scenario is not that uncommon.

If two players have pocket pairs, both will flop a set simultaneously roughly once every 100 flops.

You still need two players to have a pocket pair at the same time for that to happen.

At a full-ring table you can expect to see a set-over-set scenario roughly once every 1,200 hands assuming all players with pocket pairs always see a flop.

Heads-up this scenario is much more unlikely, though.

It should happen only once every 42,000 hands.

So there's no need texas holdem odds list worry about better sets https://microrcracing.com/best/best-online-u-s-casinos.html only one opponent � unless of course you're Phil Iveyplaying Scotty Nguyen in one of the biggest heads-up tournaments on TV.

Set Over Set Over Set Set over set situations are already very uncommon.

But what about some truly long-shot scenarios?

What about three players all flopping a set at the same time?

The math shows this scenario is extremely unlikely.

At a full-ring table you'll only see that every 166k hands.

With only three players at the table, this number increases to once every 14 million hands.

Important Set Over Set Odds Scenario Probability Odds If you have a excellent best london casino for slots have, you hit a set trips on the flop 11.

Only bested by straight flushes, quads are and occur only very infrequently.

Quads over Quads: Does it Happen?

Set over set is already quite unlikely but what about one step further?

Well, the odds for that are pretty slim: With two players holding a pocket pair both will hit quads by the river roughly once every 39,000 attempts.

Odds for Making Quads in Poker Scenario Probability Odds If you have a pair, you hit quads until the river 0.

If you hold two suited cards.

How Likely is Flush over Flush?

Your dream scenario of flopping a flush can occasionally turn into a nightmare if one of your opponents flops a better flush with you.

But what are the odds?

As a matter of fact, if two players start out with two suited cards of the same suit, the odds of both texas holdem odds list a flush are not as small as one might think.

Once every 206 attempts the flop will show three cards of the texas holdem odds list suit.

Even flush over flush over flush is not that unlikely.

If you want to know how often this happens at a table, you still have to factor in the odds of all those players being dealt matching suited cards.

The triple flush is much more unlikely though and should happen only once every 29k attempts.

Odds for Flushes in Texas Hold'em Scenario Probability Odds If you have suited cards, you flop a flush 0.

The probability of not being dealt a single pocket pair over 50 hands is a little bit under 5% � unlikely, but very possible.

Expand the streak to 200 hands and the probability drops to less 0.

Now most pocket pairs are only really good if you flop a set with them.

The probability of hitting at least one set i.

Over 500 hands the probability of not hitting a single set drops to only 3%.

Over 1,000 hands this number drops to less than 0.

So, over a long enough sample, you're practically guaranteed to flop one of those powerhouse hands.

Odds for Streaks in Poker Scenario Probability Odds Being dealt no pocket pair over 50 hands 4.

A hand so rare most poker players will remember every single one they are dealt for their entire life.

It's already quite unlikely for the board to allow for a royal flush by featuring at least three cards ten or higher of the same suit.

This happens only once every 60 hands that go to the river.

In real life the odds are certainly a bit lower since sometimes people fold hands like Texas holdem odds list before the flop.

Not everybody chases backdoor-royal-flush draws if there are bets and raises in front of them.

If you stood besides click at this page table for 100 hands, the probability of witnessing at least one royal flush is already 2.

If you stood there for 2,500 hands or roughly 100 hours of live poker this probability increased best neighbour bets roulette almost 50%.

All Important Royal Flush Probabilities The board shows a royal flush 0.

Many local card rooms and bad beat jackpots.

If you lose with a very strong hand, you and the entire table receive a share of a significant jackpot.

Card rooms also have strict requirements about which hands qualify for a bad beat jackpot.

One of the most frequently used rule sets for those jackpots is: One player must lose with quad eights or better and both him and the player with the winning hand must use both hole cards.

The odds improve considerably if you increase the number of players at the table since now more players can make a qualifying hand.

At a full-ring table the odds of any two players hitting the bad beat jackpot are 1 to 194,000.

How Likely is a Bad Beat Jackpot in Poker?

Scenario Probability Odds Hitting quad eights or better and lose heads-up 0.

Have you had a deja vu when looking at your hole cards because you had the exact same cards down to the suits just the last hand?

Sounds like the dealer is pretty bad at shuffling, no?

With a perfect shuffle the odds of you getting the same hand as you had the hand before is 1 in 1,326 � unlikely, but not impossible.

The gist with small probabilities is that they quickly become more and more likely if you repeat the event often enough.

Pocket Aces Back-to-Back Now anyone can be dealt 83o twice in row and might not even notice this coincidence because, who cares about those low cards.

Surprisingly this scenario is not as unlikely as you might think.

Over 100 hands the odds are roughly 1 to 500; over 1,000 hands already 1 to 50.

Someone who has certainly played more than 34,000 hands is Phil Hellmuth.

And the Https://microrcracing.com/best/best-in-slot-hunter-gear-vanilla-wow.html Brat just recently managed to get dealt pocket aces back-to-back live on television during Poker Night in America.

But, of course, getting aces is not everything.

You first need to get your stack in and you need your hand to hold up.

Probabilities of Back-to-Back Hands and Streaks in Hold'em Being dealt the exact same cards in a row at least once over 100 hands 7.

Lastly, let's take a look at some rather big numbers: How many ways are there to shuffle a deck of 52 cards?

For the first card you have 52 options, for the second 51, for the third 50 and so on.

Thus the total number of different ways a deck can be shuffled is 52 ? � ?

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Learn the most important poker odds, understand poker math and use it all to gain an advantage. outs, use poker math to your advantage and find probabilities of hitting or improving your hand in Texas Hold 'em. Best Poker Software List.

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I've done some searching and haven't exactly found the answer.

I did try adding up the odds of winning for all 169 possible combinations then dividing by 169.

My local casino has a texas hold em table where you play against the dealer.

You ante, then put up 2x ante if you want to see the flop.

My thinking is if you look at the 52.

If anyone can tell me if I'm correct, I would really appreciate it.

Check out the free software "pokerstove" or "poker equilab" to run matchup simulations.

As for your specific strategic question, is the game against a human dealer with a set strategy?

Other variations of this, such as the dealer winning ties or the introduction of a rake, will lower your equity and since this is a casino game, I'm willing to bet that they have something in their favor.

As far as your odds of winning with two random heads up hands, you will tie just over 4% of the time, and you will evenly split the wins the rest of the time, over the long run.

This means that you will win very close to 48% of the time, assuming that you always go to the river.

In order to provide strategic advice for a casino game, you would need to provide all of the rules of the game, because they can make a huge difference.

Thanks for contributing an answer to Poker Stack Exchange!

Provide details and share your research!

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Find out how to work out the odds of hitting uncommon draws in Texas Hold'em.. Note: After working your odds out you can compare your results with the list of�...

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